In other words, the relative value of that prize to the amount bet. If you spend $1,000 to buy 500 tickets ( = 1 ticket for each of 500 Mega Millions games = 1 ticket per Mega Millions game, 2 times a week for 4.8 years) there is a: 49.79 % chance that you will get back $64 or less 58.41 % chance that you will get back $68 or less Although anyone who can afford to buy all the possible combinations (millions of dollars worth) doesn’t need to win the lottery, what this reveals is that the lottery can be beaten because it is a game of probabilities and not just pure chance or luck. Mega Millions Probability Analysis – How To Win, Understanding Odds, 6 Recommended Patterns and 511 Number Combinations To Avoid ... We calculate the probabilities of each pattern and separate the best ones from the worst ones, so you won’t have to. The calculator will calculate the odds for the Mega Millions, or any similar game such as Powerball, based on the same formal of five regular balls and one extra ball. Roughly, here’s the steps I took to cr… The return column shows the ratio of the expected win to the amount bet for each event. The odds of winning Mega Millions are calculated by combining the odds for both sets of numbers for all prize levels. Building on the work advanced by Jeremy Elson in this article on Mega Millions Odds, I decided to take his work a couple of steps further. The Mega Millions number matrix was last changed on 10/31/2017, and only results since that date are included in this report. Based on 306 drawings since Tuesday, October 31, 2017. Mega Millions Statistics. The first, third, fifth, seventh, eighth and ninth prize level odds are determined by the chances of choosing a given number of white balls correctly as well as the gold Mega Ball. The win for the jackpot shown is roughly the current jackpot amount. The defaults shown are the fixed prizes for all wins except the jackpot. The total return in the lower right cell is the overall expecte… ... Only 6 Mega Millions Patterns Have the Highest Probability of Winning. I fleshed out this calculator which could both estimate the number of ticket sales for a given prize amount and, using a guess of ticket sales, give a prospective ticket buyer an estimate of the expected value of a single entry. If you don’t care, scroll down to the conclusion! To display statistics for previous versions/drawings of Mega Millions…