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Invest 92-L Currents from the National Hurricane Center This disturbance has 30 mph winds and is given about a 80% chance of developing over the next 5 days. Interesting to see HGX and LCH both talking about the possibility of disturbed weather in the area next week. by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 17, 2010 11:53 am, Post For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.

By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies. by don » Sat Jun 19, 2010 11:16 am, Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests, Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Limited, Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis. take a look at the latest 12z gfs it has invest 92L making landfall right here in southeast texas. Invest 92L NRL Floater. Given that the center (and strongest winds) of this system is forecast to move across the Leewards, well north of T&T, tropical storm watches/warnings may be issued for those islands later today.
How similar would this be to Florence aside from the eerily similar timing and placement? Invest 91L is currently disorganized. Interesting to see the 12Z GFS suggesting that 92L or what is left of the wave will approach the FL Straits (hour 132) and end up in the Central GOM (hour 168).

I mean not identical, but the general path shifts and setup. This may cause paulette to loop out to see.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey. Invest 92L’s ability to organize will be limited until that area of spin contracts, and showers and thunderstorms become more concentrated. by srainhoutx » Wed Jun 16, 2010 7:40 am, Post by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 17, 2010 11:17 am, Post

12Z GFS suggesting that what ever is left of 92L may increase our rain chances next week...at least... 12z GFS is also the most aggressive its been on the development of 92l (has it hitting pretty close to tropical storm status at least briefly...), http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... SLP240.gif. by Paul » Wed Jun 16, 2010 10:22 pm, Post You must log in or register to reply here. by srainhoutx » Sat Jun 19, 2010 7:02 am, Post INVEST 92L Key Messages: – Watches & Warnings: An Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) was issued at 6:51 AM for T&T, which went into effect at 7:00 AM through 6:00 PM. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register. Top Analog Tracks For Invest 92L. A well organized tropical wave (Invest 92L) in the Atlantic should become a tropical storm, within 48 hours (the name will be Isaias). by srainhoutx » Sat Jun 19, 2010 7:39 am, Post

Whether 92L develops or not, this is a good reminder that Hurricane Season has begun and now is the time to think about what you would do if we face a threat this year. Invest 92L Active Reconnaissance. by redfish1 » Sat Jun 19, 2010 8:49 am, Post by Mr. T » Sat Jun 19, 2010 9:02 am, Post by don » Sat Jun 19, 2010 9:09 am, Post The last two EPS means have shifted a lot to the W fwiw, which means not as strong an OTS recurve chance as earlier EPS runs had been showing: Looks like a race between this and 93 for Paulette but this has a slight edge in probs. 18Z EPS 144: TD17 is on lower right. However, warm sea surface temperatures and wind shear in the 5 to 15 knot range (light) could allow for development as Invest 91L tracks west-northwest across the Gulf. The Offical CDC Homepage By Clicking Here. The lower right corner shows some of 92L members. EPS Ensemble Tracks. It will also cause systems back up the pike to begin pushing more wnw. Florence was NORTH of Paulette in its current location. Here on the 216 hour map of the 12Z EPS, those just offshore the SE US, the TD over FL, and the H in the E GOM are from Paulette: Those on the right are from Paulette on the 144 of the Happy Hour EPS: Honestly I have to wonder if anyone else is thinking something like Florence here? Similar to the 6Z EPS, a good number of these aren't clearcut OTS recurves: Looks like I don't have capability to change the title. by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 17, 2010 12:41 pm, Post

Invest 91L. by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 17, 2010 4:58 pm, Post It’s still early to predict where the latest tropical wave will end up, but most of the spaghetti models of Invest 92L show the storm system turning towards Florida. Post Right now the National Hurricane Center is giving Invest 92L a medium chance (40%) of development over the next 5 days. Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. Post The European ridge has been weakening and may allow the ridge of south eastern Canada to slide further to the east. by redfish1 » Sat Jun 19, 2010 10:46 am, Post it looks to me we may have something to watch in the upcoming week. by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 17, 2010 1:19 pm, Post Invest 92-L Forecast

About time for 'Bones' to make an appearance... Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey.

by srainhoutx » Wed Jun 16, 2010 3:16 pm, Post This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register. by srainhoutx » Sat Jun 19, 2010 10:47 am, Post We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
yeah Florence and Isabel are two of those "they should have recurved" storms. Additional RAMMB Sat - RAMMB Model Data - RAMMB Wind Products Invest 92L Other Floater Sites: TropicalTidbits - WeatherNerds - CyclonicWx East Atlantic/ Africa Satellite. by Ptarmigan » Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:11 pm, Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests, Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Limited, Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis. by Hardcoreweather » Sat Jun 19, 2010 10:59 am, Post

Invest 92L spaghetti models. by Portastorm » Sat Jun 19, 2010 8:35 am, Post What concerns me is an August 'like' pattern in late June. BAM track suggests a rather impressive Tropical Storm, but an aweful lot of land interaction ahead. As I mention in the tropical discussion. Still looks sheared. by srainhoutx » Wed Jun 16, 2010 5:50 pm, Post re: invest 92l Post by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 17, 2010 5:17 pm Interesting to see the 12Z GFS suggesting that 92L or what is left of the wave will approach the FL Straits (hour 132) and end up in the Central GOM (hour 168). re: invest 92l Post by Portastorm » Sat Jun 19, 2010 2:35 pm Mr. T wrote: The CMC and Euro upper air patterns would imply a Mexico or TX hit, while the 0z GFS shows much weaker ridging across the SE US and pulls the system northward into a weakness in the Central Gulf Coast region between a ridge to the west and a trough across the northeast. On the other hand the Euro and other models (CMC,Nogaps) but my intentions more on the Euro for obvious reasons... have been consistent on developing a system in the Caribbean next week for several days now that moves into the gulf.

The fact that the NHC forecast track has no NW movement tells me the CONUS needs to keep watching this one closely since NW movement this far east is almost a guarantee of a safe OTS recurve. A fighter none the less... Not too willing to write Invest 92L out yet.